Hello everyone,

Its a dreary mid-afternoon here with 61 degrees. The gosh darn cold front still has not made its way throught here yet. It will arrive just in time for the lunar eclipse tonight, which I will not be able to see. :(

Before I say anything else I want to send my prayers out to those families hit in Alabama and Georgia, especially those in Enterprise, AL. I watched some of the videos from Enterprise and surrounding areas but thes two stuck out the most:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8czbQ6YXUn4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=umIHhvcohns&NR

It is now 89 days from the begininng of the 2007 hurricane season. I bring this up today because there is Tropical Development in the Atlantic according to the GFS. The GFS shows development off of a cold front parked over Florida. The so called low pressure system would develop in the Bahamas and move out to sea. Right now I do not believe it because afterall it is March, but I think it would be possible.
-----for my thoughts on the 2007 hurricane season, I am agreeing with the general consensus that it will be an above average season. I currently am thinking that it will be between 12-15 TS, 6-8 hurricanes, 2-3 major hurricanes. I expect an early season, possible starting in late June. I expect to be hit at least once this season. I expect the opposite of last season for landfalls, meaning more Cyclones coming inland in the usual areas of the Carolinas and Florida. I do not think this year will be the year for the overdue places to be hit ie NYC and Tampa. All of this is just a guess and may or may not be right; do not take this as an official forecast.
------Spring Break is comin up, finally, I am planning a cram packed week of Meteorology data. I still have to finish off last years work and get ready for this year. One thing that I will not be able to do this year is expand to the South Pacific, as that season is half over now. I was hoping to be able to do that this year but I have no spare time to do that. I'll explain all that I have to do in a later post.

This weekend I have an Essay to write and some back homework to finish, as well as some homework and exam review for next week due.

I'll talk to yall later, comments would be welcome.

Fact789/Jonathan